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Spectrum

  • The National AIDS Control Program (NACP) in the Ministry of Health and Social Welfare (MoHSW), with support from the USAID-funded Health Policy Project (HPP), engaged in a stakeholder-driven process to estimate the costs of the Third Health Sector HIV and AIDS Strategic Plan (HSHSP III) for the fiscal years 2013/2014-2017/2018. This report describes the HSHSP III costing process and shows the cost results by NACP program unit and HSHSP III impact area and strategic objective.

  • Access to information and reproductive health services, especially related to family planning, can help to improve the alarming rates of maternal and infant mortality and reduce malnutrition within a framework of respect for human rights.

    This publication by the Health and Education Policy Project presents two scenarios developed with the Spectrum projection system for what could happen in Guatemala between 2010 and 2050. Through analysis of a set of indicators, it estimates the future needs of programs and interventions related health.

  • The government of Cote d'Ivoire is committed to the fight to gain control and turn the tide of the HIV epidemic. Striving to offer the best standard of HIV treatment, the country aims to adopt the new 90-90-90 target. The country also plans to roll out “test and offer” for the general population in the near future and begin piloting Option B+ for pregnant women in 2015. Such an intense scale-up of HIV treatment services will require intensified coordination to mobilize resources and effectively target those funds for treatment scale-up and sustainability.

    The aim of this cost-outcome analysis study was to estimate the cost of HIV treatment scale-up and the impact of such an expansion by estimating the cost of treatment for one person per year for adults, children, and pregnant women. Currently, limited data exist around the unit cost of HIV treatment in Cote d’Ivoire. To inform policy decisions on how best to finance scale-up of treatment with the limited resources available, understanding the outcome of HIV treatment—and the levers for improving the chances of successful treatment—is critical.

    The study found that the cost of the full year of treatment expected by following the national treatment guideline would be CFA142,431 (US$288) for adults, CFA217,603 (US$440) for children, CFA85,063 (US$172) for PMTCT Option B, and CFA 151,827 (US$207) for PMTCT Option B+. A total investment of approximately CFA147 billion (US$297 million) is required over the next five years, leading up to the year 2020, to achieve the 90-90-90 target and a 100 percent roll-out of the Option B+ approach for the prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT). This investment will save more than 35,000 lives and prevent more than 6,000 children from becoming infected via PMTCT compared to the status quo, in which treatment coverage increases at the historical pace.

  • Since 2012, the USAID-funded Health Policy Project (HPP), in partnership with the Ethiopia Public Health Association (EPHA), has trained 52 public health professionals from government entities, universities, and nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) in the use of the Spectrum Policy Modeling System suite of tools. Driven by the vision of furthering this initiative, four faculty members from the Department of Reproductive Health at the College of Medicine and Health Sciences, the Department of Population Studies in the Faculty of Social Sciences, and the Institute of Public Health at the University of Gondar developed a proposal to integrate four Spectrum Model tools—DemProj, FamPlan, RAPID, and LIST—into the Master of Public Health (MPH) and Master of Science (MSc) curricula.This report summarizes the process followed, as well as successes and lessons learned from the integration of Spectrum tools into the academic curricula at the University of Gondar.

  • In 2014, the Health Policy Project, in collaboration with the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), supported the development of a subnational family planning advocacy materials in Adamawa, Nigeria.Using the Resources for the Awareness of Population Impacts on Development (RAPID) model, this brief highlights how smaller families would relieve pressure on the provision of primary education and public health services, and alleviate food insecurity as well as unemployment in Adamawa state by 2050.

  • With support from the USAID-funded Health Policy Project, the Ethiopian Public Health Association applied the DemProj module of the Spectrum suite of models to project the size of the Ethiopian population from 2012 to 2050. The projection showed that the population is expected to increase steadily from 83.7 million in 2012 to 171.8 million in 2050. The young (0 to 14 years) age group is projected to decline after 2030, while the working-age population (15 to 64 years) and older age population (65 years+) are expected to continue growing. Ethiopia’s window for capturing a possible demographic dividend is projected to peak around 2040. Based on the data from the model, recommendations were made to accelerate access to family planning services and to increase investments in health, education, and other development sectors to take advantage of the demographic dividend.

  • In the past decade, PEPFAR has committed significant technical and financial resources to the fight against HIV, working with local partners in target countries to promote prevention programs, increase the number of patients receiving ART, and strengthen national coordination and monitoring of programs. As donor funding stagnates and developing economies grow, it is critical to identify long-term, sustainable sources of domestic funding for HIV to maintain and build upon the successes achieved by low- and middle-income-countries in partnership with PEPFAR.

    As part of PEPFAR’s Sustainable Financing Initiative to increase domestic resource for HIV, HPP created a baseline assessment of the current state of HIV financing in Uganda against which future achievements in domestic resource mobilization can be measured. The assessment analyzes current resource commitments against projected need, estimates future domestic resource needs, and examines efficiency and equity in the use of funds.

  • In the past decade, the President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) has committed significant technical and financial resources to the fight against HIV, working with local partners in target countries to promote prevention programs, increase the number of patients receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART), and strengthen national coordination and monitoring of programs. As donor funding stagnates and developing economies grow, it is critical to identify long-term, sustainable sources of domestic funding for HIV to maintain and build upon the successes achieved by low- and middle-income-countries in partnership with PEPFAR.

    As part of PEPFAR’s Sustainable Financing Initiative to increase domestic resource for HIV, the Health Policy Project (HPP) has created a baseline assessment of the current state of HIV financing in Zambia against which future achievements in domestic resource mobilization can be measured. The assessment analyzes current resource commitments from all sources, both domestic and external, against projected resource need under UNAIDS’ 90-90-90 target, to determine future need for new domestic resources in each country, as well examines efficiency and equity in the use of funds, with the goal of maximizing the impact of financial commitments.

  • This study, conducted by the USAID- and PEPFAR-funded Health Policy Project (HPP), assessed the costs and benefits of different prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV (PMTCT) treatment options (baseline treatment as currently offered, Option B, and Option B+). It is intended to inform the scale-up of PMTCT services in Nigeria’s 13 high-burden states, which account for 70 percent of the mother-to-child transmission burden.